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PowderAlert 4 2024/25 | Start of the season in the south.

Ullr finally feels remorse for the south and brings powder south of the main Alpine ridge

by Lars Oelmann 01/05/2025
You're supposed to have good intentions in the new year and the oracle wants to be less serene and more enthusiastic in his old age. Ullr also takes heart and wants to give us more powder.

And the Oracle wants to dance alarms on Tiktok...or maybe not. The Oracle would do anything for clicks, but it won’t do that. (*Meatloaf song plays*)

But if you check out these 7 secret powder tips on PowderGuide, your belly fat will melt, or something. I digress.

However, the alert title sounds as if the oracle is violating good intention one, but with 0-30% of the long-term average in southern Switzerland at the beginning of January, you have to be honest with the southern Alps: not much has happened before.

There could still be something to come in the west and the rest of the week also has very reasonable prospects, so the oracle has at least achieved a 50% resolution rate and is looking forward to the weekend after missing the Christmas wow weather.

But the way to hell is paved with good intenions.

Alert period and areas

The alert will continue until Tuesday afternoon, as this first wave should then be over and there will be a short break. (This could be followed by another alert).

Alert areas: Stretching from Ticino to Adamelllo and again in the IT/AUT/SLO border triangle.

In between those areas in the south and in France, it may or may not be enough.

Wind

Less severe in the south-west in the snowfall area, stormy in the south-east. Foehn storm on the main ridge and in the north.

Snow line

As always, not very arctic in the south-west, but not terrible either.

It will be between 800-1200 metres in the west of the south and slightly higher in the east. In France, much higher in the west until the cold front comes in. In the south full amounts from 1500m

The quantities

From Ticino to the Adamello, as well as in the south-east, 30-50cm and 40-60 or even 70cm in Stau areas. In between and in France, we get around the alarm levels of 30cm (20-40cm).

And I'm not sure where our PG model will get the optimised values for northern Switzerland or northern Austria by Tuesday. They're not coming.

Crap. Intention one broken.

Where should I go?

Oh. weh....there was basically no base in the south before this dump. So I wouldn't even drive into the core and wait for the next alert for the west, which will probably come on Tuesday.

Bad oracle, remember good intentions one. YAY! THERE'S LOADS OF POWDER! #megadump

Seriously: France/western Lower Valais would be the only option for those desperate enough, as not much comes over the main alpine ridge.

Medium term

Encouraging. There may be another alert in the west and south as early as Tuesday this week. And another chance later on Thursday. Unfortunately, the snow line is on a rollercoaster, as is usual with active westerlies.

Powder to the people!

And compassion for the South.

Your oracle

Prediction game #4: Core zone station "Livinal Lunc (1837m)"

The snow depth prediction game no. 4 takes place at the station "Livinal Lunc (1837m)" from Sunday, 5th Jan 23:00 to 7th Jan 20:00. The initial value of the snow depth at the station "Livinal Lunc (1837m)" is 43cm (5 Jan 23:00).

Write your fresh snow tip as a comment below by Monday, 6 January at 18:00! As a reminder, tip game rules, Tip player reminder email.

The first prize in this year's prediction game is a ski building workshop from Valhalla - Handmade ski dreams from the Schwarzwald!

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