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PowderAlert 12 2019/20 | North jam without flushing.

Last week repeats itself. First Pow then warmer, but this time it lasts longer.

by Lars Oelmann 02/03/2020
Last week, Ullr made a brief appearance from early retirement, only to be washed away again by tropical masses of rain. This week is better, because first of all it's snowing everywhere in the northern congestion, and then it's staying dry so that you can use the snow for longer.

So there you go. After the drought, a snow taser and tropical downpours (soaked snow cover up to 2400m at the beginning of February??), something like winter now seems to be setting in for at least a little longer. Yes, it's getting warmer again, but it's staying dry and next week there could be some snow again.

Alert period and areas

The alert is in place for the whole of the Nordstau until Wednesday morning in the west and Wednesday evening in the east. From France to the Rax. There is no fixed core, but the largest volumes will probably come from the Bernese Oberland to the very east in the typical congested areas. But beware, this will shift due to the completely absurd hurricane. More on this in the volumes and where

Wind

I always write that it's quite windy, but this time it will be a full hurricane with heavy squalls in the lowlands and a real hurricane from the foothills of the Alps onwards. This is due to a pressure wave pushing past the Alps, creating a massive gradient between our annoying Mediterranean high and the low to the north. Wednesday will be a little less bad, but still stormy.

That's why it's blowing the snow God knows where. I wouldn't assume that there will be too much in the northern foothills of the Alps and expect most of it to be on the main ridge, or just before or even behind it, where the wind is calmer. It will push as far inland as possible

.

Snowfall limit

This is easy. It stays at the bottom. From 1000m the full amounts. Thanks Ullr.

The amounts

Unfortunately, the accumulation is not that persistent and the high is moving in from the west quite quickly, but it should accumulate for a good 24-30 hours, so there will be a good amount.

From France to the very east, 40-70cm of snow. There will be 60-90cm of snow in the congested areas, but I don't want to rule out the meter, as it's actually really accumulating and there's a lot of energy involved.

Where should I go?

As always, the question is: Where is there a base further down in the trees? If such a place exists, then go there. Everything at the top is closed on Tuesday anyway because of the hurricane. It will be good in the afternoon rather than the morning. On Wednesday morning, it should be possible to ski in the east in the forest again with few obstacles.

In the west, it will clear up at the latest in the morning. The Arlberg is in between and the sun will probably shine there from the afternoon.

The good thing is that it will snow cold on warm and there is a chance that the fresh snow will freeze on the glop and it will become more stable at the bottom if no new layers form due to the rapid cooling. At the top there will be drifting snow from Hell, which you can then look at on Thursday.

Then it will also get warmer, but it will stay dry, so that you can go on a tour on Friday and at the weekend when it is no longer so life-threatening.

Medium-term

Still no changeover to real winter, but possibly more snow from the west from Tuesday, if the frontal zone comes to the Alps, which is not yet certain. After that, there are signs of our favorite weather with a high over the Mediterranean or Central Europe and really warm. Great. Great. SWa/SWz. Oh dear. Either poop in wet or dry. We're not getting out of this mess any time soon. Maybe towards the end of February, or when the polar vortex reorganizes in spring? Never give up hope.

First of all: Powder to the people!

Your oracle

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