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PowderAlert 12 2021/22 | Better than nothing!

It may be snowing, but nobody is really happy about it.

by Lars Oelmann 02/16/2022
After a small Italian low pressure system brought between 20 and 30 cm of fresh snow to the south (even just above the alert limit in the Julian Alps), it's now time for some fresh snow in the northwest.

However, the strongly fluctuating snow line and the massive warming on Friday - apparently not possible without it this year - will limit the joy. Of course, it will also be stormy again.

Ullr seems to be making this year more of a season for extremely flexible locals with specialist knowledge than for the weekend freerider, because it will certainly be good somewhere on Thursday and possibly on Friday morning, but finding these time slots and locations is not easy.

Alert period and areas

The alert goes from France to the Arlberg and until Thursday evening.

Wind

The frontal zone is extremely close and so is the jet stream. It is storming strongly from west to northwest. Full amounts deep into the inner Alps into Valais, Silvretta and central Grisons.

The volumes

Widespread 30-50cm depending on the accumulation, above approx. 2300m. Possibly up to 60cm with extremely favorable inflow, but no more. Due to the wind, it is difficult to say exactly where and how much is coming and it can vary greatly in a small area. Generally more in sheltered westerly locations.

Where should I go?

Today, Wednesday, you can safely wait and drink beer. On Thursday, it will be difficult to find trees where it hasn't rained. Most likely somewhere in Graubünden or far up in the inner Valais. Friday it will clear up and you might be able to get up high just before the massive heat. On Saturday there will probably be a second helping and cooling just before the alarm limit. You could hope that the base is still soft enough and that Friday hasn't created so many crusts on the north side, so that the 20cm of fresh snow will be fine.

Medium-term

I'm pretty sure there will be an alert from Sunday evening until Tuesday. I don't really see a real changeover, despite the optimistic WeatherBlog, not really, as cold air keeps moving into the Atlantic near North America and the low pressure areas move too far north for the Alps, which means heat and dryness and massive westerly wind events again and again.

Powder to the people!

Your oracle

Snow height prediction game

The snow height prediction game will take place at the "Gandegg" station in the Lötschental from 16.2. to 18.2. 12:00 noon: Write your tip by Wednesday, 16.2. 23:00 either here as a comment, or in the Forum.

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