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PowderAlert 15 2916/17 | Ullr works full-time

Again up to one meter, this time in the north.

by Lars Oelmann • 03/04/2017
Ullr, our dearest God, no longer seems to be working part-time in March. As soon as the snow in the south is through (with up to 120 cm according to the SLF, as stated in the alarm), it starts again in the north-west and there's a lot more to come.

The almost 40-50cm in the north-east of Switzerland, which no model had on the screen, was surprising in the last alert. But now we are continuing with the regions from alert 13 and this time there is even a base there!

Time period and areas:

Alarm amounts are likely to fall from the Arlberg to France in the Hautes Alpes, with the core once again tending to be in the west and extending from the Lower Valais into the Hautes Alpes. In other words, everything that is served by the west-northwest. However, this current should push far into the Valais and also snow in the Goms. It's possible that parts of North Tyrol will also be subject to alerts, but there it's just about to reach the alert level. In the Eastern Northern Alps there will be much less, nothing else.

The flow is strong and will push far into the main ridge and into Valais.

The alert will last until Tuesday afternoon.

Snowfall limit:

Stays powdery and will fluctuate between 1000 and 1500m, with the higher values in France and the lower ones in the Rhone Valley. But it will start lower tonight. It will tend to get a little higher on Monday and below 1000m again in the evening, so from 1400-1700m everything should remain with good powder depending on the region.

Wind:

Strong currents will push the snow deeper into the Alps, but will cause strong drifts at the top. It should tend to remain somewhat calmer in the inner Alps than in the north-western foothills of the Alps.

Amounts:

From the Arlberg to the Bernese Oberland it will probably be 30-60cm. From the northern Valais to France it will be around 50-80cm by Tuesday afternoon, although I can also imagine the magic meter in the Belledonne, in the Lötschental or in the French / Swiss border area. Then we would already have three alerts in one week with one meter. It's starting to feel like winter! North Tyrol could also see 20-30cm +X, but that's not certain yet.

Where should I go?

Monday and Tuesday in the trees of the west. These should now slowly work above 1200-1400m with base after alert 13. Wednesday will be warmer and sunnier, opening a small window into alpine regions. This will close on Thursday because it will become extremely warm again.

Mid-term:

Uncertain. Snow may return after the warm weather. Just in time for the weekend and also in the north/northwest, but there may also be nothing or not much. So appeal to Ullr's work ethic again and keep your fingers crossed that there might be another alert on Friday.

Powder to the people!

Your oracle.

Here's the link to the prediction game.

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