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PowderAlert 17 2016/17 | Warm snow from the northwest

Snow again, too warm again.

by Lars Oelmann • 03/16/2017
Normally, snow from the north also means powder. Last week was different. This time, too, there's something wrong with Ullr's gifts: the coming fresh snow will probably not be usable below the tree line, as the snow line will also rise towards the end of the precipitation.

Areas and time period:

From Saturday morning to Sunday afternoon, alert amounts will be reached from central Switzerland to the far east of Austria. A small core should be on the Arlberg, but the second core from Salzburgerland to Styria should get more.

Snowfall limit:

And there we have the salad, because even if Ullr will initially let it snow up to 1600m in the west and 1200m in the east, the whole thing will gradually rise until Sunday and will probably end up at 1900-2200m in the west and somewhere between 1700 and 2000m in the east. This means that everything below 2400m in the west and 2200m in the east will turn into GLOP ™ by Sunday afternoon. Cold powder, if there was no wind in it, will probably only remain above 2600 or 2400m.

Wind:

Full gale from the west. With the weak foundations everywhere and the considerable amounts of fresh snow in the high mountains (i.e. exactly in the weak layers), this will probably not be an alarm to praise Ullr, because everything will be blown in.

Quantities:

In the high mountains (powder line 2600-2400m W to E), 25-50cm will be widespread from central Switzerland to Styria, whereby the 50cm will only be reached in the western accumulations.

In the core on the Arlberg, it will probably be 40-60cm at the very top. And in the high elevations of the eastern core it will probably be 50-70cm, as it doesn't really accumulate with so much west and gets so extremely warm.

Where should I go?

On Saturday it's more likely to be the pub than the mountain. On Sunday, the weather could break and you might be able to look at slopes below 30° somewhere high up, if it opens up for a short time. It's likely to stay rather soupy and invite you to another visit to the pub. Everything else should give you the creeps. Monday doesn't look like weather suitable for the high mountains either. Regardless of the likely avalanche risk.

Mid-term:

It's completely uncertain. The two major models oracle completely different scenarios of what Ullr could be up to. None of them is deep winter.

Glop™ to the People!

Your Oracle.

Tip game for the alarm

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