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PowderAlert 2 2019/20 | Now also with carpet pad skiing.

Alarm 2.0

by Lars Oelmann • 11/14/2019
All your base are belong to us! The internet meme always makes sense in a skiing context and Ullr sends us dump number 2 to the south. Now you can finally swap your stone skis for the good slats and go skiing. By that, however, I still mean relaxed early-season turns and not shooting with the handbrake off.

Alert period and areas

The alert lasts until midday on Saturday and extends from the Maritime Alps in France across the entire Southern Alps to Slovenia. This will probably be followed by alert 3 on Saturday.

Snow line

Surprisingly low for a südstau in November. It should stay between below 1000m (tonight in Ticino) and 1500m (in the east during the day), so that from 1200-1600m everything should come as powder and not, as is so often the case with südstau, glop™.

Wind

It will be stormy again. Storms further up the main ridge and foehn storms in the north mean very irregular snow distribution and a high avalanche risk further up. However, it will push almost the full amounts up to the main ridge. And in the real südstau, it could even remain relatively calm up to the tree line and a little above it.

The amounts

From the Maritime Alps to Piedmont and Slovenia, 40-60cm of snow is widespread. In the well-known congested areas of the Southern Alps (e.g. Monte Rosa, Dolomites, Julian Alps) it is more likely to be 60-90cm. Most models suggest that it goes into the high category more often in the east than in the west. Will a jam hole also make the meter, as the optimistic models suggest? I don't think so, as it's only a very short dump.

Where should I go?

Into the forest aisles or the sparse forest up to the tree line. Because it snows all the time. The snowfall subsides on Friday evening and most of it is already gone by then, but it continues to flake on Saturday, albeit not quite as heavily. I'd say the base is still missing in the dense forest. But the oracle will probably go to the snow. So it can't be that bad.

Medium-term

From sky-high to deathly sad. Ullr seems to be somewhat bipolar and will first send us the next alert on Saturday and then let the southerly flow get warmer towards Wednesday-Thursday with rain possibly up to 2000m. But since not all models are so gruesome, it's time to sacrifice a beer or a vegan smoothie bowl at the Ullr Shrine so that the more moderate glass balls prevail.

Powder to the people!

Your oracle

PS: From tomorrow, the usual PG weather service will be available again.

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