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PowderAlert 7 2023/24 | Better than nothing.

Snow is coming, but it's not going to be great.

by Lars Oelmann 01/16/2024
An alert appears, but the outlook is rather mediocre. Of course, an alert is always better than no alert, but with this one, the snow line is a bit of a bitch and the outlook after the weekend is also rather poor.

Ullr somehow has the midwinter blues and can't really get into the mood.

Alert period and areas

The alert goes from France to the Arlberg and there may also be alerts in the south.

The alert ends early Friday morning and by Friday it is already clearing up.

Wind

A bit of a storm, but the old snow cover and the snow line are more of a problem. It doesn't push that far into the inner Alps. Most of it comes in the westerly accumulation.

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Snow line

It only goes up very high. In France and northern Switzerland it is 2200-2400m on Wednesday, so the full amounts only come around 2400-2500 metres. In the south it is lower.

On Thursday it sinks into the valleys, so that about a third of the alert occurs around 1800 metres.

The quantities

From France to the lower Valais there is 40-70cm of snow from 2500m upwards, 70-90cm in congested areas and I can also imagine around one metre of snow, but where is it wind-calmed far enough up to be able to measure it?

In the rest of the north and also in the south from the Adamello to Slovenia, there is a low alert level of 30-40cm in congested areas, possibly 50cm, but this is more in the south. In the south, this is very tight and with a little more west than south-west it quickly becomes almost zero, so be careful here too.

Where should I go?

This alert has more potential for disappointment and I wouldn't try to make anything of it until Friday, because Thursday in the trees is rather poor at 10 to 20cm maximum and you can forget about Wednesday anyway. Wednesday is better spent drinking beer, going to the sauna or, crazy thing, dear Van Life influencers, going to work. 

Friday should be quite nice up in France and western Valais, but also dangerous, as the base is rather unfavourable. The weekend will be sunny and hopefully we'll be able to do a bit more on the avalanche side.

Medium term

Desolate wasteland, with vultures circling above. Rolling thorn bushes from western films. Bored teenagers at a bus stop in Wolfenbüttel, south-east Lower Saxony. A lecture on historical tax law of the late 20th century.

If you need any more metaphors to describe the general weather situation after the weekend, feel free to let us know in the comments. The northern hemisphere will be inundated and we'll find ourselves on the warm front side of an Atlantic trough, which will be repeatedly regenerated with ice-cold air masses from Canada. I see little chance of escaping before the beginning of February.

At least it remains sunny. You can work on your Google Tan and, once the situation has calmed down, possibly tackle some steep things.

Powder and "meh" to the people!

Your not quite so euphoric oracle

Prediction game #7: Core zone station "Les Ecrins (2940m)"

The snow depth prediction game no. 7 takes place at the station "Les Ecrins (2940m)" from Tuesday, 16 Jan 19:00 to 19 Jan 15:00. The initial snow depth at the station "Les Ecrins (2940m)" is 303cm (16 Jan 19:00).

Write your fresh snow tip by Wednesday, 17 January at 19:00 as a comment below! As a reminder, tip game rules, Tipping game reminder by email.

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Show original (German) Show original (French)

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