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PowderAlert No. 13 2015

A full northern congestion for the east!

by Lars Oelmann • 02/07/2015
It has already started today, the northern congestion. Unfortunately for everyone west of the KitzbĂĽhel Alps, there won't be much of it until Tuesday. All of Ullr's disciples who looked enviously to the west from the Salzkammergut and further east last week can now rejoice: because here there is northern congestion with amounts worthy of northern congestion. Nothing is coming in the south and west.

The snow line should remain reasonably low until the end of the precipitation, but it cannot be ruled out that it will rise to 1000 m here and there on Tuesday. The wind is blowing, but it's more blustery than gale force, so there may be a few snowflakes here and there above the tree line. I also think that it will make its way to the main ridge with somewhat reduced amounts.

The amounts: Ullr has left Switzerland, because only from Glarnerland to Tyrol will 10 to 20 cm with an upward trend to the east. Nothing further west and south.
From the Salzburgerland or eastern North Tyrol, depending on the location of the rather sharp boundary simulated in the models, this will rapidly increase, and today's 20 cm will be topped by another 30 to 50 cm.

In congested areas in the far east or in the known holes, this could also be 60 or 70 cm. I would be very surprised if it were more than that.

Since it's all falling as warm drifting snow, it could be quite sticky further down on Tuesday. Above 1000 to 1200 m, however, it should remain completely powdery, at least on the north side.

My tip: Wait and see on Monday or head into the trees in the afternoon and then up high on Tuesday. However, as it will be quite warm by then, you should be aware of the additional avalanche risk, as the warming could cause some of Ullr's white splendor to slide. So it's better to wait until Wednesday for more interesting things.

In the medium term towards the Carnival vacations, it looks like warm consolidating touring weather, where you have to go high up on the north side to find powder. However, the warmth could also make some slopes a little more stable.

In addition, it looks as if Ullr is leaving us and making way for a tough, annoying high for longer. So: please light candles in the Ullr shrine so that there's some news from your favorite blog before March.

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