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PowderAlert No. 5 2014/2015 | Finally an alert

Winter 2014/15 begins

by Lars Oelmann 12/25/2014
I dust off my electronic parchment, sharpen my wit and am pleased to present you with the first alarm of the meteorological winter. Ullr has seen sense and we are finally switching from late October to winter. Oh wait, wrong... There was more snow in the northern Alps at the end of October.

Now that it has finally turned cold and a few centimetres of snow (mostly up to 30 cm) have already fallen, a second wave is coming, which should sound the alarm in the north and especially in the west.
The snow line is not our problem, as it will snow all the way down, but the temperatures are, as it will not be base-forming snow in combination with wind and cold, because fine cold powder on rocks does not do well in the alpine area.

The amounts will be between 20 and 40 cm in the congested areas from the Bernese Oberland to the deep east of Felix Austria in addition to the amounts that have fallen. This should finally be enough for powder turns on grass. Above the tree line it will be cold, windy, with little or no snow and dangerous. Less will fall towards the main ridge and south.

In the west, from the Hautes Alpes to western Switzerland, it should be 30 to 50 cm and in some backwater areas, such as the Aravis, I don't want to rule out 60 cm. More is unlikely to come, as we don't have a permanent flow that creates the beloved dam, Ullr's magic box of tricks. In addition, global models like to overestimate the high altitudes of the Western Alps with large-scale precipitation fields like the one we're currently experiencing.

With one possible exception in the south towards Slovenia, virtually nothing is coming.

So why don't I sound like a radiant young monk of the Ullr cult who is currently doing his duty in the powder monastery? Simple:

  1. These amounts are all that will fall in the foreseeable future (until well after New Year) before the high pressure dreariness has us again.

  2. It's not snowing where it has a base (in the south), so it will be a very "material-intensive" snowfall event, or rather is. that will lure the desperate powderhounds out ;)

After the snowfall, it will be sunny and cold and you can at least do tours in a wintry ambience. My tip: find a grassy base, enjoy the powder without any remorse and then maybe play "search for the stone" further up.

Powder to the people!
And hopefully see you soon when a serious traffic jam breaks through the forecast blues of yours truly.

Your oracle

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