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WeatherBlog 11 2020/21 | Still unstable, fluctuating temperatures

Stormy westerly weather, mountain winter

by Lea Hartl • 01/27/2021
Overall, the weather will continue to be changeable and prone to precipitation, with a significantly fluctuating snow line. Over the next few days, Atlantic low-pressure areas will repeatedly reach us, which will be steered towards the Alps from the west. Due to the alternation of warm air at the front of the trough and colder air at the back of the trough, temperatures will be on a rollercoaster.

The cooler "backside weather", which caused cloud accumulation and precipitation on the northern side of the Alps on Monday and Tuesday, often brings local surprises. Some of the showers were heavier than expected, and there has been a fair amount of fresh snow in the past few days, especially from Tyrol eastwards. Today, Wednesday, it is also cloudy in the north and snowfall is spreading, see the current PowderGuide.com. In the south, on the other hand, it will be clear and windy with north föhn.

On Thursday, a warm front approaching from the NW will put an end to the cool temperatures across the area and precipitation will intensify. As can be read in more detail in the oracle, there will be considerable amounts, but the snow line will rise significantly. It will tend to remain favorable in the sense of colder in the inner Alps and towards the east, but it will get warmer everywhere - from the current perspective, the question is not whether it will rain, but how much. It will also be very windy. All in all, very uncomfortable weather conditions are on the horizon, as well as a very critical avalanche situation.

After a presumably brief, insignificant calming of the weather on Friday morning, the next round of precipitation is still to come on Friday according to today's model status, followed by another warm front with a less than ideal snow line on Saturday and the associated cold front with cooling on Sunday... The trend for next week is persistently changeable with a rapid succession of smaller highs and lows from the west. So similarly turbulent as before, but with clearer intermediate high options.

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A high on high weather stations

When the weather is changing rapidly and the temperature and precipitation conditions are uncertain, it's worth its weight in gold to be able to check the weather stations in your area. With just a few clicks, you can quickly find out where it has snowed 10 centimeters more or where it has warmed up earlier than expected. Small-scale effects that do not appear in the models can often be tracked quite well in this way. And of course, the stations are also very important for our prediction game!

Nowadays, it is a matter of course in the Alps that there are not only many weather stations at different altitudes, but that you can often access them almost in real time, for example via the lawis.at platform or the services of the SLF. In other mountain regions, the situation is very different and weather stations at higher altitudes are still a very rare commodity, although the corresponding data would be very important to improve weather forecasts in remote areas or to better understand the effects of climate change at different altitudes.

The world's highest weather station has been located on Mt Everest, between the South Col and the summit, at 8430 m since 2019. A team of 22 people, consisting of 14 Sherpas, 3 scientists, 3 journalists and two Nepalese mountaineers, installed this and other stations as part of an expedition sponsored by National Geographic. The Everest weather stations have their own Twitter account, where you can view webcam images and see what the temperature is at what altitude. The power supply works via solar panels and the telemetry, which presents us with data more or less in real time, runs via the same satellites that are used for satellite phones.

The WeatherBlog recently did an in-depth look at another station that was installed when Twitter wasn't even dreamed of and neither satellite phones nor particularly functional solar panels were available: After a Japanese mountaineering team perished in bad weather on Denali in 1989, a colleague of the casualties set out to use a weather station to prove that the wind there could get so strong that you "d be blown off the mountain", or knocked over and crash as a result. To set up the station, the four of them each hauled around 60 kilos of material from the base camp at around 2200m to the station site at around 5700m. The expedition lasted a total of 3 weeks, and the departure was delayed by a volcanic eruption.

The station was probably the highest in the world until 1996. After installation, most of the instruments broke every year - the wind tore off the wind sensors, connection cables broke and so on. Until 2007, people still went back every year to repair the whole thing as best they could.

When I look tomorrow morning to see where in my area the PowderAlert has brought the most fresh snow and how high it has rained, I'll think about it again and be happy about the incredibly good station network in the Alps! And if I see that it's just too critical and uncomfortable, I'll stay at home and watch what's happening on the webcams...

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