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WeatherBlog 3 2019/20 | Foot cold, mild at high altitude

Mild high-pressure weather until the end of the week

by Lea Hartl 12/04/2019
High pressure determines the weather in the Alpine region. A high pressure system is currently arching over Central Europe with a simultaneous low pressure influence in the south. Over the next few days, the high will flatten out and the large-scale flow will become more zonal. If the whole thing were a little further south, we would have "western Alpine weather", but as the frontal zone is quite far to the north, we will remain under high pressure for the time being.

At the same time, it is very mild and sunny at higher altitudes, while the windless conditions in the valleys are creating decent inversions. The best weather for escaping the cold, gray valleys and enjoying the sun on the mountain.

From today's perspective, the weather will pick up again at the weekend. Low pressure will move in and the weather will become more mixed again. For now, this means only a rather cloudy Saturday, which will put an end to the unclouded sunshine. Sunday looks a little sunnier again before it becomes much more unsettled from Monday with precipitation from westerly to north-westerly directions and generally stormy conditions. It's still a few days away, but we're hoping for more snow in the north. And: Long live the variety!

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November: Very wet in the south, generally mild

Last November got off to a cloudy start, with a westerly to south-westerly flow. At the beginning of the second week of November, it snowed down to the valleys in many places for the first time of the season. This was quickly followed by the impressively persistent südstau with extreme amounts of precipitation and snow in the south and foehn-like conditions in the north.

The weather services dutifully deliver their monthly reviews at the turn of the month and the north/south divide is, unsurprisingly, clearly reflected in the monthly precipitation totals. In the south-west of Austria, November 2019 was the wettest for 160 years, with up to 450% of the average precipitation total. In the more northern parts of the country, it was much drier, with up to 40% less precipitation than the average in parts of Upper Austria, for example.

MeteoSchweiz describes the November weather in the north as "unspectacular", which the WeatherBlog now finds a little rude. Otherwise, the Swiss are also reporting record snow totals in the south. The record snowfall was accompanied by a very low number of hours of sunshine by climatological standards, which makes a certain amount of sense.

Autumn, which in meteorological terms lasts from September 1 to November 30, was also mild overall and wet in the south (for Switzerland read more here, for Austria here). The latter is primarily due to the südstau in November, which brought significantly more precipitation in some regions than would otherwise be expected in the entire fall. In Austria, the fall of 2019 was the fourth warmest since measurements began (1767). The 5 warmest autumns in the time series all occurred in the last 10 years. In Switzerland, it was the sixth warmest autumn since measurements began (1864).

In addition, ZAMG is already taking the precaution of addressing the annual topic of white Christmas and states "In the period from 1951 to 1980, there was twice as often a 24 December with a closed snow cover in the provincial capitals as in the period from 1983 to today. At low altitudes, the chance of a white Christmas has therefore halved in the last few decades, although it is pointed out that this is also, but not exclusively, due to global warming. In the 1960s, there was a series of very cold winters that had a significant impact on this particular statistic.

No meteorologist knows yet whether there will be a white Christmas this year, and the weather forecasting anthills and mullein are of different opinions, according to WeatherBlog's research. Once again, we'll have to wait and see.

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