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WeatherBlog 11 2025/26 | Milder with good chances of snow in the south

Smooth farewell to the Arctic air, südstau for the weekend?

01/14/2026
Lea Hartl
After around two weeks of fairly low temperatures, it will become milder again over the next few days. The cold air masses that have migrated to us from Arctic latitudes have moved eastwards and the high-altitude current is turning to westerly to south-westerly directions. After fresh snow in the north followed by considerable icy weather, the medium-term signs are now pointing to Föhn and südstau.

Current situation and outlook

After a long break, the Atlantic low pressure system has started up again. The rapidly approaching supply of Atlantic disturbances is currently being deflected northwards by an extensive high over the Mediterranean region, which should bring us sunny weather over a wide area today (Wednesday) and tomorrow.

Meanwhile, the next, stronger Atlantic trough is already approaching from the west. This will hit the high lying in its path, slide a little to the south and thus ensure a more southerly flow direction over the Alpine arc. From Friday, the weather will become more unsettled, cloudy in the south and foehn-like in the north.

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The corresponding accumulating precipitation will probably start here and there on Friday, but the current model opinion is that things will get more interesting from the weekend onwards. There is potential for some decent südstau - especially in the west, but with respectable amounts of fresh snow across the entire southern Alpine arc, depending on the variant. It doesn't look particularly good for the north in terms of fresh snow, but as we all know, you can't have everything. We're keeping our fingers crossed for the south and are hopefully awaiting possible reports from the PG Powder Oracle.

Warm front brings black ice in the east

The weather of the last few days is worth a little look back. On the one hand, there was long-awaited snow in the northern Alps - the latest ConditionsReports have a lot to say about the powder fun and the sometimes very tense avalanche situation (see e.g. overview of the weekend at LWD Tirol and SLF) as well as the still often inadequate base. On the other hand, there was all kinds of winter chaos, first in parts of Germany and then in eastern Austria, including school closures and paralyzed airports(e.g. Vienna Schwechat on Tuesday morning). Snow alone can sometimes pose a challenge, but bringing medium-sized airports to a standstill usually requires a few other ingredients.

For Vienna, these ingredients were already in place last weekend. After the passage of a cold front on Saturday, there was another surge of very cold air from the north and a largely clear night. The best conditions for strong cooling of the ground and the air layers close to the ground. With calm, cold high-pressure weather on Sunday with correspondingly stable stratification and another mostly clear night, the cold air on the ground continued to hold up well.

On Monday, warmer air masses arrived in higher layers, but the cold air on the ground remained unaffected. A warm front moved through on Tuesday night. Thanks to the actually mild air mass, the precipitation fell as rain and immediately froze on impact due to the very low temperatures on and just above the ground. The result: a considerable layer of ice on roads, airplanes, runways, etc. Further west, for example in Innsbruck, it has also become significantly warmer and somewhat more slippery, but without the freezing rain from the warm front, there was no such pronounced black ice problem.

It's a bit older and not from Vienna or Innsbruck, but we're taking this opportunity to point out this great video once again!

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