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PowderAlert 11 2020/21 | After the Südstau is before the Südstau!

Ullr defies the early spring!

by Lars Oelmann 02/06/2021
Is the snow melting everywhere in the foehn and further up there are deep layers of weak snow? No, not everywhere. A small, albeit not very Gallic region is bucking the trend this winter!

You can ski from the Simplon to Slovenia with a thick base and normal risks. And soon you'll be able to ski powder there again, at least in the west.

Well, in the middle of Germany too, but as we all know, there are no mountains there. After the dump, Ullr will probably send its Siberian breath to the Alps, but unfortunately there will hardly be any moisture, but more on that in the medium term.

Alert period and areas

The alert goes from Monte Rosa to Slovenia. The core is once again from Veneto to Slovenia and will once again bring our favorite station Livinal Lunc a thick portion of snow on the 4m, which are already at 1800m.

The alarm goes until Monday morning.

Wind

At first still a bit stormy in the south and foehn storm in the north, but with the onset of precipitation not so windy anymore, so that quite good snow can come out up to the top.

But it doesn't push far towards the main ridge. I would expect half of it here at most.

Snowfall line

In the west of the region somewhere around 1000-1200m, possibly lower in the inner Alps. In the east long high rain up to 1700 or even 1900m. In between somewhere in between.

So realistically between 1200 and 1600m from the Upper Engadine to South Tyrol.

The amounts

Widespread 40-60cm of snow from the Simplon to Veneto. In favorable congested areas towards the Upper Engadine or Dolomites even 70cm. From Veneto to Slovenia, 60-100cm and in the Italian-Slovenian border region, 120cm or so are possible.

Where should I go?

If you have to travel in the same country, I would tend to travel towards the südstau rather than the main ridge and more to the west, because it snows deeper there. So Adamello rather than Sella Nevea and East Tyrol rather than Villach. Switzerland should be a good fit everywhere in the south.

From Monday it will clear up and you can go to the ski area further up and from Tuesday onwards, nothing stands in the way of cold touring days with good snow conditions.

Mid-term

The models are not yet in agreement, but the Alps will probably (according to the majority of the crystal balls) also be hit by the Siberian breeze, which is currently turning Hanover etc. into Shred City. Not that it will do the people there any good. It looks rather cold and dry here, but it's possible that something from the west in Switzerland will slide onto the arctic air in the middle/end of the week. But nothing is certain yet.

Powder to the people!

Your oracle

Snow depth prediction game

Unfortunately, there is no snow measuring station in the Harz Mountains, so from 6.2. to 8.2. 13:00h: Write your tip until Sunday, 7.2., 16:00h either here as a comment, or in the Forum.

PS: The last prediction game was not scored due to a lack of precipitation, so there is no need for an updated interim score...

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