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WeatherBlog 12 2024/25 | Stormy start to winter, prospects so-so

After the snow is before the snow

01/29/2025
Lea Hartl
Fresh snow, storms, high avalanche risk in places - winter was barely declared dead before it was back, at least for a few days. Thanks to the fresh snow of the last few days, the snow depth on the main Swiss ridge is approaching the average again, but without replenishment and with settling, it won't stay that way for long. If you can, you should enjoy the snow with due caution while winter is still within reach.

Current situation

The winter weather has temporarily risen again, as we have already heard from our colleague Orakel and can ideally verify on the mountain today. Yesterday's precipitation was the result of the cooperation of an upper Italian low and a cold front from the northwest, which met over the Alpine arc. In terms of snow, the southern slopes of the Alps benefited the most, but there was also a stormy refresh in the north. In Innsbruck, more precipitation fell within three hours than in the whole of January so far, which tends to say more about January than about yesterday's precipitation. However, the amount of precipitation was quite considerable. In Switzerland, too, there was some astonishingly heavy precipitation. This was due to the cold front, which remained stationary for a relatively long time and delivered rain or snow on the spot instead of moving on and spreading the rain.

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Over a large area, we are caught in a strong westerly current that rushes across the Atlantic towards us and meets a powerful high in continental Europe, which deflects the current to the north. A very pronounced outbreak of cold air leaves the eastern half of North America shivering. We remember: D. Trump's inauguration had to be moved indoors because of the cold. What seems more important is that ice is forming on the Hudson River in New York, there have been snowball fights in the streets of New Orleans, and the swamps of Florida have become an unusual winter forest (subjectively beautiful video). In any case, the very cold air mass in the USA is slowly moving eastwards towards the Atlantic. The cold, Arctic air flows over warm seawater, which promotes the large-scale development of low pressure over the Atlantic, which in turn produces the strong westerly flow that we are currently experiencing.

In addition to the snowfall of the last few days, we should also mention the impressive storm Éowyn, which caused severe damage and record wind speeds of over 180 km/h at the end of last week, particularly in Ireland (not on exposed foehn mountains, but on the coast). More on Éowyn's meteorological peculiarities (bomb cyclones! Shapiro-Keyser structure! Possibly Stingjet??) for example here.

Outlook

Today (Wednesday), the PowderAlert low is already more or less history and a new, smaller low over France is again providing a slightly foehn-like south to south-westerly current. The low pressure system is expected to drift into the Mediterranean region over the next few days and ensure "unsettled" weather (some snow every now and then, some sun) until the end of the week. Meanwhile, the next high-pressure bridge will form between the strengthening Azores High and high pressure in the east. The high pressure is expected to dominate the weather from Sunday and into next week. It currently looks like an Atlantic block and inversion in the medium term.

Rain on Snow in the Arctic

Finally, let's take another quick look across the pond. West of the cold air in the east of the USA, record-breaking temperatures prevailed until recently. In Alaska, it was warmer at times than on the US East Coast, which is really saying something in January. In Fairbanks, in the cold, continental center of Alaska, it even rained last week! From a traffic point of view, this means a moderate disaster - normally you have a dry, cold and therefore relatively grippy snow road here in winter. When it rains into the cold snow, a layer of ice forms immediately, which usually doesn't thaw again until spring. This is a nuisance for people, but sometimes an existential problem for wildlife. Caribou, reindeer and other species that usually dig through the snow cover to the ground in winter to eat plants cannot break through the ice cover and starve to death if the ice cover covers the entire area. In 2020, 250 tons of reindeer food were dropped by helicopter over the Norwegian tundra to save up to 160,000 reindeer. It's not that bad so far this year. We're keeping our fingers crossed for the reindeer (and the skiing conditions in the Alps) that the rest of the winter will be as wintry as possible.

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