And just in time for the start of the ski season in the glacier ski resorts, we’re treated to a weather spectacle in three acts:
Act 1: Tuesday—The Starting Point | The Mediterranean Takes Center Stage
It all starts with the Mediterranean. After the hot summer, the sea is still warm, providing energy and moisture for powerful storms. Currently, in the Gulf of Genoa, moist air is being transported northward inland by a weakened upper-level low-pressure system. Along the Riviera between Marseille and Genoa, a significant amount of precipitation has already fallen—these are the typical heavy rainfall events along the Mediterranean coast in the fall, and they are often catastrophic. The rest of the Alpine arc has remained dry so far. Combined with the southerly flow, this has brought stormy foehn winds in some areas, causing temperatures to rise above typical October levels. But tomorrow, another key player will take the stage.
Act 2: Wednesday—The Current Situation | Mother Cold Air Knocks on the Door
Today we’ll get to know her: the cold air. As we know, she comes from the north and sometimes ventures down to us in the mid-latitudes. This time, she’s riding in on the trailing edge of the upper-level trough that already brought us the Genoa low. It brings with it a hefty cold front and declares war on the foehn. While the foehn will still be fighting bravely in the Eastern Alps throughout the day, the front will continue to gain ground from the west. The wind will shift to the west, and by evening it will have fought its way all the way to the east.
In concrete terms, that means precipitation, dropping temperatures, and snowfall! Heavy snow is possible, especially in the northwestern Alps. Regionally, up to 30 cm of fresh snow is possible. Overnight into Thursday, the snow line will drop to 1,500. However, this will be accompanied by strong winds with gusts of up to 100 km/h. A clear victory for Mother Cold Air. For now, at least, because...